Kevin Kelly: Predicting the next 5,000 days of the web
http://ca.youtube.com/watch?v=yDYCf4ONh5M
0:00~2:59
The internet, the web, as we know, the kind of web thing we’re all talking about is only less than 5 thousand days old. Okay, so all the things we’ve seeing come about, starting, say with a satellite images of whole earth which we couldn’t even imaging happening before. All these things rolling into our lives, this is abundance of things that right before us sitting in front of our laptop or desktop, this kind of cornucopias stuff just coming…never ending. It’s amazing. And we’re not amazed. It’s really amazing that all the stuff is here. Okay, it’s in 5 thousand days. All the stuffs that’s come. And I know that ten years ago, if I had told you that this was all coming, you would have said that’s impossible.
1:11～
There’s simply, there’s no economical model that would be possible. And if I told you all are coming for free, you would say, simply ‘you’re dreaming. You’re a California utopian. You’re wide-eyed optimist. And yet it’s here. The other thing we’ve known about it was that 10 years ago when I looked at what even Wired was talking about, we thought it’s gonna be TV be better. That was the model. That was what everybody was suggesting, was going to be coming. And it turns out that’s not what it was. First of all, it was impossible, and it’s not what it was. So one of the things, I think we’re learning, if you think about Wikpedia that is something simply impossible. It’s impossible in theory but possible in practice. And if you take all the things impossible, I think one of things we’re learning from this era, from this last decade, is that we have to get good at believing the impossible. Because we’re gonna prepare for it. So I’m curious what’s gonna happen in the next 5000 days. If that’s happened in the last 5000 days, what’s gonna happen in the next 5000 days. So I have a kind of simple story. And it suggests that what we wanna think about is that the things we’re making, the things that are happening in 5000 days, that’s all these computers, all these handhelds, and all these cell phones, all these laptops, all the servers, basically what we’re getting out of all these connections is that we’re getting one machine. If there is only one machine, our little handhelds or devices are actually just a little windows into those machines. But that we’re basically constructing a single global machine. So I began to think about that it turned out that this machine happens to be the most reliable machine ever made.
http://ca.youtube.com/watch?v=yDYCf4ONh5M
0:00~2:59
The internet, the web, as we know, the kind of web thing we’re all talking about is only less than 5 thousand days old. Okay, so all the things we’ve seeing come about, starting, say with a satellite images of whole earth which we couldn’t even imaging happening before. All these things rolling into our lives, this is abundance of things that right before us sitting in front of our laptop or desktop, this kind of cornucopias stuff just coming…never ending. It’s amazing. And we’re not amazed. It’s really amazing that all the stuff is here. Okay, it’s in 5 thousand days. All the stuffs that’s come. And I know that ten years ago, if I had told you that this was all coming, you would have said that’s impossible.
1:11～
There’s simply, there’s no economical model that would be possible. And if I told you all are coming for free, you would say, simply ‘you’re dreaming. You’re a California utopian. You’re wide-eyed optimist. And yet it’s here. The other thing we’ve known about it was that 10 years ago when I looked at what even Wired was talking about, we thought it’s gonna be TV be better. That was the model. That was what everybody was suggesting, was going to be coming. And it turns out that’s not what it was. First of all, it was impossible, and it’s not what it was. So one of the things, I think we’re learning, if you think about Wikpedia that is something simply impossible. It’s impossible in theory but possible in practice. And if you take all the things impossible, I think one of things we’re learning from this era, from this last decade, is that we have to get good at believing the impossible. Because we’re gonna prepare for it. So I’m curious what’s gonna happen in the next 5000 days. If that’s happened in the last 5000 days, what’s gonna happen in the next 5000 days. So I have a kind of simple story. And it suggests that what we wanna think about is that the things we’re making, the things that are happening in 5000 days, that’s all these computers, all these handhelds, and all these cell phones, all these laptops, all the servers, basically what we’re getting out of all these connections is that we’re getting one machine. If there is only one machine, our little handhelds or devices are actually just a little windows into those machines. But that we’re basically constructing a single global machine. So I began to think about that it turned out that this machine happens to be the most reliable machine ever made.
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